Villa vs Blose this evening, at Walsall, in the League Cup Group Stage.
We need to get a result and hope for an unlikely favour from Bristol City when they host Tottenham on Sunday afternoon if we are going to top the group and qualify for the knockout stages.
In this competion you get three points for a win and none for a loss, as usual. However, all drawn games go to penalties and you get two points for winning a shoot-out or one point for losing it, too.
Here are the scenarios that will see us through:
Villa win in 90 mins + Tottenham do not win in 90 mins
Villa win on pens + Tottenham lose in 90 mins
Villa win on pens + Tottenham lose on pens + Villa score more goals than Tottenham in their respective games
Villa lose on pens + Tottenham lose in 90 minutes
Any other combination of results and we will be out.
For Blose to go through they need to win in 90 minutes, for Tottenham to lose in 90 minutes AND to overturn Tottenham's six goal advantage in goal difference. Bristol City cannot qualify.