Will we qualify for the CL?

[Dave]

I want Brighton to win. I have no idea why anyone would want Chelsea to win a game where we have no skin in the game.

Yup. And if we do end up opening up sixth to Champions League qualification, it suits us better that it's not Chelsea sitting there.

[Percy McCarthy]

I suppose we want a draw tonight.

What are the magic numbers for both?

Chelsea 6
Brighton 5

So, Chelsea win:

Chelsea 6
Brighton 2

Draw:

Chelsea 4
Brighton 3

Brighton win:

Chelsea 3
Brighton 5

… I think.

[PeterWithesShin]

Magic number is a US sports term as it relates to the combined number of wins/losses that means team B cannot catch team A.

For us it's points rather than wins. No one on 48 points can get more than 63 points, those on 47 it's 62 and so on. As we're on 58 a combined 6 points won by us, or dropped by a team on 48, means they cannot catch us. 5 combined points for those on 47, and so on.

It amused me to do 6 7 rather than the real answer as i'm dead mature.

[Dave]

One fun little permutation is that if Chelsea manage to hang around sixth place, they go to Anfield on May 9th.

So it could plausibly be in their interest to lose to Liverpool to help push us down to fifth, thus opening up sixth for CL qualification.

[Ads]

One fun little permutation is that if Chelsea manage to hang around sixth place, they go to Anfield on May 9th.

So it could plausibly be in their interest to lose to Liverpool to help push us down to fifth, thus opening up sixth for CL qualification.

Brighton drawing with Spurs is a solid indicator they're not winning 5 in a row, not that any of them are mind, so lets opt for Chelsea to be battered senseless.

[Baldy]

Trying to understand FFP, FSR, SCR European qualification, the Scottish EPL and the UEFA Nations League has done my head in.

Football used to be a simple game.

I'm going for a lie down.

[cdbearsfan]

One fun little permutation is that if Chelsea manage to hang around sixth place, they go to Anfield on May 9th.

So it could plausibly be in their interest to lose to Liverpool to help push us down to fifth, thus opening up sixth for CL qualification.

Similarly, Brentford have Liverpool last game and it could be better for them to lose.