Will we qualify for the CL?

[cdbearsfan]

I'm liking this maths approach.

[Dogtanian]

I am lucky that our goal different is so bad, as it meant I didn't have to put anything in to deal with scoreline scenarios. 

I might have a play over the summer and see if I can build something in for it and add something for likelihoods, too.

[Archbishop Herbert Cockthrottle]

We have to assume that Citeh will win their last two so as long as we win, we need Forest to do the same.

[PaulWinch again]

We have to assume that Citeh will win their last two so as long as we win, we need Forest to do the same.

Or draw, or Newcastle fail to win.

[Smithy]

We just need to win, and hope that one of the other three teams slips up on the last day. 

The chances of the other three all winning their games is pretty high, but not so high as to abandon all hope.

[Flamingo Lane]

Given the risk of us ending up in the Conference League, would anyone cash in right now with a place in the Europa League?

[Dogtanian]

We have possibilities, and none of them are really outlandish.

Everton are unbeaten in the last 3 against Newcastle, and all the pressure will be on Newcastle. They're fantastic at home and it is a massive advantage for them, but it wouldn't be a shock if Everton got something from it. And they will go in to get something, too.

Forest have definitely faltered, but they've only lost 2 out of the last 8 home games. Chelsea I think have only won 1 out of their last 8 away games. Chelsea also have a final 3 days later, and that's something that definitely will be on their mind. For a player, a medal in the hand is worth more than a Champions League campaign in the bush. They're also without Jackson, their second highest goal provider this season.

Man City... yes, on paper, you wouldn't bet against them winning their last two games, and they should. But they should have beaten Southampton. All is not well there. They have two chances to fuck up, and considering their season, again you wouldn't be shocked if they dropped something.

[Somniloquism]

Will Isak be missing for next week? Could be a blow as they haven't won a match he has missed in the league this season.

Man City is a strange one. I think they had close to 50 chances over the last two games and haven't scored. You have to assume odds will be for them to convert if they keep on creating the chances, but also the pressure will be on them more. On Saturday there were a couple of times they should have scored but took extra touches to be sure and subsequently wasted them.

[Dogtanian]

Given the risk of us ending up in the Conference League, would anyone cash in right now with a place in the Europa League?

Nope, the difference in prize money between Conference and Europa is about £10m. The difference between Champions League and Europa is about £30-40m.

Plus the status of it in the eyes of players, the kickers in place for sponsorship deals if we get CL...

[Dogtanian]

Will Isak be missing for next week? Could be a blow as they haven't won a match he has missed in the league this season.

Man City is a strange one. I think they had close to 50 chances over the last two games and haven't scored. You have to assume odds will be for them to convert if they keep on creating the chances, but also the pressure will be on them more. On Saturday there were a couple of times they should have scored but took extra touches to be sure and subsequently wasted them.

According to Howe, they don't know yet.

“That is unknown, I don’t know at this moment in time. He only felt pain really after training. During training, he felt fine, just a bit of stiffness really. So he went for a scan this morning as a precaution, but then it became obvious he wasn’t going to be fit to play. So, I don’t know. A lot will depend on how he reacts in the next few days."

[Somniloquism]

As an aside, and not that it matters these days with the format, but we should be in pot 3 for the CL draw and maybe higher in the Europa.

We are currently 46th in the coefficient table.

[Dogtanian]

Yep, if Spurs aren't in Europe next season, we have a very good chance of overtaking them in the co-efficient, after only 3 campaigns. Surely yet more evidence that they are just tat pretenders to a big club crown.

[ChicagoLion]

Given the risk of us ending up in the Conference League, would anyone cash in right now with a place in the Europa League?

No, if its the conference we can focus all our energy on the League next season and treat the conference like Chelsea has.

[Dogtanian]

According to the Premier League website, 8th can still get Europe?

https://www.premierleague.com/news/4279477

Come on Bournemouth! 

[cdbearsfan]

That seems to contradict what the BBC were saying. Why is the official Premier League website relying on reports from ESPN? Shouldn't they know, or be able to ask UEFA to check?