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Author Topic: Will we qualify for the CL?  (Read 168226 times)

Offline aj2k77

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2355 on: May 18, 2025, 06:17:06 PM »
I'd definitely take an increased risk of finishing 7th for an increased chance of finishing 5th. The reward massively outweighs the risk.

Online Meanwood Villa

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2356 on: May 18, 2025, 06:17:14 PM »
I'm with you all the way cd. Crazy logic to say that one of our direct rivals beating a team irrelevant to us improves our chances of finishing 5th. It's like a mass delusion based on football clichés.

However, I am more confident of us doing our bit next week.

It does increase our chances of finishing 5th though. Equally it increases our chances of 7th at the same time.

How?

Offline Ads

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2357 on: May 18, 2025, 06:17:58 PM »
I'm with you all the way cd. Crazy logic to say that one of our direct rivals beating a team irrelevant to us improves our chances of finishing 5th. It's like a mass delusion based on football clichés.

However, I am more confident of us doing our bit next week.

It does increase our chances of finishing 5th though. Equally it increases our chances of 7th at the same time.

How?

Because Forest will actually put a shift in now against a side with 1 away win this year.

Online Meanwood Villa

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2358 on: May 18, 2025, 06:19:02 PM »
I'm with you all the way cd. Crazy logic to say that one of our direct rivals beating a team irrelevant to us improves our chances of finishing 5th. It's like a mass delusion based on football clichés.

However, I am more confident of us doing our bit next week.

It does increase our chances of finishing 5th though. Equally it increases our chances of 7th at the same time.

How?

Because Forest will actually put a shift in now against a side with 1 away win this year.

How do you know they wouldn't if they'd lost today?

Online john2710

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2359 on: May 18, 2025, 06:19:14 PM »
I didn't think we'd beat Brentford, Brighton or Bournemouth but we did. And I don't think we'll beat Man U, because we never do.

But if we do, we'd be very unlucky not to qualify for the Champions League.

Online Meanwood Villa

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2360 on: May 18, 2025, 06:19:54 PM »
Chelsea being crap away remains the same regardless of Forest's result today BTW

Offline Ads

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2361 on: May 18, 2025, 06:21:28 PM »
I'm with you all the way cd. Crazy logic to say that one of our direct rivals beating a team irrelevant to us improves our chances of finishing 5th. It's like a mass delusion based on football clichés.

However, I am more confident of us doing our bit next week.

It does increase our chances of finishing 5th though. Equally it increases our chances of 7th at the same time.

How?

Because Forest will actually put a shift in now against a side with 1 away win this year.

How do you know they wouldn't if they'd lost today?

Why on Earth would you expect a side that cannot finish any higher or lower, whose form has dropped off, having just lost to a rank West Ham side to match the sort of intensity they will now have for a potential Champions League spot.

Online Dave

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2362 on: May 18, 2025, 06:22:53 PM »
I've just seen too many bad things happen in matches featuring Villa and the red franchise from Manchester and am trying to prepare myself psychologically for the worst. Sorry if my less than cheery disposition is pissing people off.

I appreciate that it's your coping mechanism and thinking we might not finish in the top five is perfectly reasonable. I haven't thought we'll finish in the top five for ages, and right now if I had to bet one way or the other I'd still go with not.

It's just the way you're treating anyone who puts the chance of this Villa (one league defeat since February) beating this Man Utd (one league win since February) at higher than zero percent, like you're the only person who is familiar with our record against them and the rest of us are a bunch of naive simpletons that's starting to get a bit tedious.

Online Meanwood Villa

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2363 on: May 18, 2025, 06:25:27 PM »
I'm with you all the way cd. Crazy logic to say that one of our direct rivals beating a team irrelevant to us improves our chances of finishing 5th. It's like a mass delusion based on football clichés.

However, I am more confident of us doing our bit next week.

It does increase our chances of finishing 5th though. Equally it increases our chances of 7th at the same time.

How?

Because Forest will actually put a shift in now against a side with 1 away win this year.

How do you know they wouldn't if they'd lost today?

Why on Earth would you expect a side that cannot finish any higher or lower, whose form has dropped off, having just lost to a rank West Ham side to match the sort of intensity they will now have for a potential Champions League spot.

Maybe the pressure of being so close to the prize will see them freeze on the big occasion? Or lose their heads?

I understand the theory that a team with something to play for will be more motivated but making a statement of fact that we now have a better chance of qualifying is completely untrue.

Offline alan_clarke

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2364 on: May 18, 2025, 06:27:27 PM »
Statistically you’re right of course. But we all know psychology plays a huge part

Online Meanwood Villa

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2365 on: May 18, 2025, 06:28:53 PM »
God bless Arsenal anyway.

Although I worry that Newvastle will now be more motivated next week and therefore guaranteed to win. Or they'll be so dejected that they're bound to lose. I forget which undeniable truism applies in this case.

Offline Ads

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2366 on: May 18, 2025, 06:29:13 PM »
Bizarre.

I'm glad we're playing Man United because (i) they have nothing to play for and also the added bonus (ii) they're one of the worst sides in the league. The idea of going somewhere where they're motivated for an objective would make it many levels harder. That's football since day dot. Id much rather be going to Old Trafford than the City Ground.

Offline ADVILLAFAN

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2367 on: May 18, 2025, 06:30:17 PM »
So if Everton won at Newcastle, a draw would get us into the Champion's League?

Online PaulWinch again

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2368 on: May 18, 2025, 06:30:18 PM »
Good stuff - we most likely need to win, but if we do and any of the following happens we’re top 5:

Citeh fail to take at least 4 points from their last two games
Chelsea fail to win
Newcastle fail to win
« Last Edit: May 18, 2025, 06:40:40 PM by PaulWinch again »

Offline curiousorange

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2369 on: May 18, 2025, 06:30:18 PM »
It's a shame Everton's last home game was today. If they were facing Bonesaw at Goodison I would have them down for the win without a second's hesitation.

 


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