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Author Topic: Will we qualify for the CL?  (Read 169193 times)

Offline Drummond

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2145 on: May 15, 2025, 03:02:38 PM »
So it is possible a points deduction could effectively be no penalty at all, then. Like when the Football League waited until Small Heath had no chance of going up and then deducted them just enough points to ensure that there was no chance of them going down.

My guess.

ManC will be deducted 35-40 points, putting them 17th. That will be applied in August so applying to 24-25, before next season, but they will have done their transfer business by then just before they get a two window ban.

So no real punishment then? Unless the transfer ban is for two or three seasons.

Yep. That's my guess.

Online Toronto Villa

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2146 on: May 15, 2025, 03:11:41 PM »
The will be docked points for all league games they will play between the end of May and the start of August. That will learn 'em.

Offline Dogtanian

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2147 on: May 15, 2025, 03:38:25 PM »
For work-related reasons, I found myself literally forced into writing a program to determine all the different permutations for the remaining games to see how many saw us get a Champions League place.

As of today, there are 59,049 permutations that can impact the top 7. Only 33% of those see us get top 5, with 37% seeing us get 6th.

Boooo.  >:(

So, I re-ran the Muskahound Supercomputer, removing our fixtures and instead setting our final number of points.

6 pts4 pts3 pts2 pts1 pts0 pts
   3rd      33%      2%      0%      0%      0%      0%      
   4th      47%      22%      2%      0%      0%      0%      
   5th      18%      49%      27%      7%      0%      0%      
   6th      1%      26%      61%      63%      44%      11%      
   7th      0%      0%      9%      29%      56%      89%      

So, that's settled.

I now have to go and bury my code in the garden to stop those Opta chumps trying to steal my secrets.  8)

Online Dave

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2148 on: May 15, 2025, 03:41:00 PM »
Good work. And a hearty "welcome back".

Offline Sexual Ealing

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2149 on: May 15, 2025, 03:42:50 PM »
What a comeback!

Online Clampy

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2150 on: May 15, 2025, 03:48:26 PM »
Welcome back Doggy. One for all and all for one!

Offline Dogtanian

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2151 on: May 15, 2025, 03:48:34 PM »
Cheers!

I've just had a peak at the daunting list of updated topics...  :-\

Offline LeeS

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2152 on: May 15, 2025, 04:19:33 PM »
Cheers!

I've just had a peak at the daunting list of updated topics...  :-\

Don’t worry, get your computer model to remove any started by Footy-Vill and the picture improves.

Offline Drummond

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2153 on: May 15, 2025, 04:35:15 PM »
Cheers!

I've just had a peak at the daunting list of updated topics...  :-\

Don’t worry, get your computer model to remove any started by Footy-Vill and the picture improves.

In summary..

We will
We won't
He's shit
He's great
He's going
He's staying
He's coming
He's not
It's looking the wrong way
It's not big enough
Where's my beer?
That lot.... Hahahahahahahaha

Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2154 on: May 15, 2025, 05:03:19 PM »
Welcome back Dogtanian. Nice to see you've been keeping yourself busy 🙂

Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2155 on: May 15, 2025, 05:04:15 PM »
Cheers!

I've just had a peak at the daunting list of updated topics...  :-\

Get the Muskehounds to help out.

Offline Percy McCarthy

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2156 on: May 15, 2025, 07:46:12 PM »
Just heard Matt Law on a podcast, he pricked my balloon of confidence somewhat. To paraphrase, they threw the Palace game for R&R reasons, but will try harder and pick more of their best players in this one.

Online Dave

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2157 on: May 15, 2025, 07:48:20 PM »
Uh oh, not the best players that have won one league game since February.

Offline Percy McCarthy

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2158 on: May 15, 2025, 07:54:11 PM »
Uh oh, not the best players that have won one league game since February.

He’s a Villa fan isn’t he? I’ll put it down to our natural pessimism. On the plus side, he also mentioned Chelsea’s terrible record against Man Utd.

Offline OCD

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2159 on: May 15, 2025, 08:33:22 PM »
So from Dogtanian's analysis...win our last 2 games and there's a 99% chance of Champions League football?

 


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