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Author Topic: Will we qualify for the CL?  (Read 175099 times)

Online Brazilian Villain

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1470 on: April 28, 2025, 02:38:55 PM »
Just need to beat Fulham first, and see where we are after the weekend's fixtures. Forest dropping 4 or 5 points in the next two and a Brighton win, would leave things looking a lot rosier.

Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1471 on: April 28, 2025, 02:44:44 PM »
Forest are catchable. The rest aren't. Sixth at best.

Offline OCD

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1472 on: April 28, 2025, 02:50:57 PM »
Chelsea aren't catchable?

Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1473 on: April 28, 2025, 02:51:42 PM »
Nope. 70 points to our 64.

Online Dave

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1474 on: April 28, 2025, 02:52:07 PM »
Forest are catchable. The rest aren't. Sixth at best.

I've long been of the opinion that we were unlikely to finish in the top five, and that opinion hasn't changed - but it's hardly crazy to think that we can't finish a win and a draw better from games against Fulham, Bournemouth, Spurs and Man Utd than Chelsea will against Liverpool, Newcastle Man Utd and Forest.

Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1475 on: April 28, 2025, 02:53:18 PM »
Man U will only win one domestic game this season and we all know which one it will be. Chelsea won't be playing Liverpool, they'll be playing Liverpool reserves.

Online ChicagoLion

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1476 on: April 28, 2025, 02:55:10 PM »

Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1477 on: April 28, 2025, 02:57:57 PM »
No. Not according to the official figures.

Online Brazilian Villain

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1478 on: April 28, 2025, 03:07:00 PM »
I think Chelsea will do well to get to 67 points never mind 70. Even to do that, they'll be taking points off Forest and Newcastle.

Offline amfy

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1479 on: April 28, 2025, 03:15:40 PM »
Chelsea are 3 points ahead of us and have the toughest run in.
If they win all their games they take down Forest and Newcastle.
It's the amount of playing each other amongst our rivals that actually gives me a bit of hope.
We need to do our thing though.

Online Dave

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1480 on: April 28, 2025, 03:20:48 PM »
No. Not according to the official figures.

Your ones that said we'd only get a point from Newcastle?

Offline Drummond

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1481 on: April 28, 2025, 03:24:36 PM »
Chelsea v Forest on the final day could be the game. A win may suit either side but a draw could leave them both struggling...

Offline Tokyo Sexwhale

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1482 on: April 28, 2025, 03:31:35 PM »
4 wins gives us 69 points.

For our rivals to get to 69 points:

Newcastle need 2 wins and a draw against Brighton (a), Chelsea (h), Arsenal (a), Everton (h)
Man City need 2 wins and 2 draws against Wolves (h), Southampton (a), Bournemouth (h), Fulham (a)
Chelsea need 3 wins against Liverpool (h), Newcastle (a), Man Utd (h), Forest (a)
Forest need 3 wins against Brentford (h), Palace (a), Leicester (h), West Ham (a), Chelsea (h)

I think we can assume Man City are going to do it, so that leaves 4 teams battling for 2 CL spots.

Forest have 3 winnable games - possibly 4, so their final game against Chelsea may be irrelevant.  We need them to have a drop off.

Newcastle have tricky games, but they're good at home.  So they'd need to pick up a point against Brighton or Arsenal (who will be resting for the CL if they get to the Final or will be on the beach if they don't).

I think Chelsea have the toughest run, and games against Newcastle and Forest.  I don't think they'll make Top 5.

So I think we need to win all 4 games, and hope for Newcastle to slip up; as I think Man City and Forest will get 2 of the 3 remaining spots.


Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1483 on: April 28, 2025, 03:43:46 PM »
No. Not according to the official figures.

Your ones that said we'd only get a point from Newcastle?

Yes, they have since been revised so they are still correct.

Offline Drummond

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #1484 on: April 28, 2025, 03:47:05 PM »
Will Forest be hungover against Brentford?

Will Chelsea get results against Newcastle and Forest?

Can Everton win away in Scotland?

All pivotal but it's all reliant on us winning all 4, anything less and we won't make top 5.

I predict we'll end up 6th, or mathematically out of it by the final day and completely shit the bed v ManU up there.

 


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