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Author Topic: Will we qualify for the CL?  (Read 175892 times)

Offline Demitri_C

  • Member
  • Posts: 12169
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #105 on: December 22, 2024, 09:54:32 PM »
You’d say he does what? Weakens them? Yeah, me too. Not massively, because he’s really good, but he obviously does, otherwise he’d start the games instead. Presumably.

The question wasn’t whether our subs can win games, it was whether they’re weaker than our starting XI. Of course. But that’s true at every club.

Would you say mings coming in for pau weakens us?

Would you say duran for ollie weakens us? Sometimes its not about the player being better - its about what that specific player adds against the opposition.  So for example mings would be better against teams that pose a more aerial threat than pau for example. But for more possesion based and playing from the back pau is far superior. Just one example.

Dont think we will agree on this one something tells me 🙂

Offline Olneythelonely

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #106 on: December 22, 2024, 10:09:11 PM »
You’d say he does what? Weakens them? Yeah, me too. Not massively, because he’s really good, but he obviously does, otherwise he’d start the games instead. Presumably.

The question wasn’t whether our subs can win games, it was whether they’re weaker than our starting XI. Of course. But that’s true at every club.

Would you say mings coming in for pau weakens us?

Would you say duran for ollie weakens us? Sometimes its not about the player being better - its about what that specific player adds against the opposition.  So for example mings would be better against teams that pose a more aerial threat than pau for example. But for more possesion based and playing from the back pau is far superior. Just one example.

Dont think we will agree on this one something tells me 🙂

I don’t think you understand what point I’m making or what and who you’re disagreeing with.

Offline TelfordVilla

  • Member
  • Posts: 1314
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #107 on: December 22, 2024, 10:20:02 PM »
Will we qualify for CL? Yes we will. Top5 will qualify this time and we will be top5. We desperately need to qualify to keep the turnover high with the riches of the CL helping us retain and recruit. Can't see anything other than a massive injury crisis stopping us.

Offline VillaTim

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #108 on: December 22, 2024, 10:51:17 PM »
Touch and go.
1) we without doubt need a couple of reinforcements in January, even if they are short term loans. RB and Pacey Winger .
2) no key players getting long term injuries .

Offline edgysatsuma89

  • Member
  • Posts: 6581
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #109 on: December 23, 2024, 02:13:24 AM »
You’d say he does what? Weakens them? Yeah, me too. Not massively, because he’s really good, but he obviously does, otherwise he’d start the games instead. Presumably.

The question wasn’t whether our subs can win games, it was whether they’re weaker than our starting XI. Of course. But that’s true at every club.

It's a bit mad that this conversation is even being had.

Offline ChicagoLion

  • Member
  • Posts: 26270
  • Location: Chicago
  • Literally
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #110 on: December 23, 2024, 06:31:59 AM »
Is everyone who convinced themselves after Forest that we're definitely finishing somewhere between 7th and 10th still sure that top five is impossible?
After yesterday? No. We were that good. Do I think we will definitely achieve it? No.
But that was the first time I have seen us play like the Winter of 2023 vintage.
One thought I had as the game continued, was who can we bring on without weakening the team?

Watkins, Bailey, Mings, Ramsey, Maatsen.

And in the right circumstances Barkley, Carlos and Buendia.
Watkins not as good as Duran, Ramsey not for 2 seasons now, Carlos is at best unconvincing, last seasons Bailey yes this seasons no. Buendia nope. Mings to see out a game yes , Barkley no where near that Midfield.
Maatsen can do a job but there is a reason why he isn’t starting.
So my point is that it’s difficult to see how we don’t weaken the team from the bench.

Now name any team in the world that wouldn’t be weakened by playing their less good players.
That was sort of my point, that team and specifically the midfield combination of SJM Rogers URI Kamara Onana is as good as it gets and if we could play that midfield until the end of the season we would have a very good chance of CL qualification.
The problem is that we won’t be able to because of fatigue and injury and I do not see any of the potential replacements not weakening us quite a bit.

Offline dcdavecollett

  • Member
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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #111 on: December 23, 2024, 03:45:18 PM »
Ramsey and Barkley aren't too shabby, though.

Offline jwarry

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  • Location: Kyrenia, Northern Cyprus
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #112 on: December 23, 2024, 04:07:09 PM »
In my very humble opinion we should not rule ourselves out of the top 4.  The ‘in form’ teams have all beaten us  at their place in recent weeks - albeit we were a wee unlucky against 'The Mighty Reds YNWA' and Forest, but we were weakened by injuries too and now (fingers crossed) we have found a winning midfield combination  and I would back us to beat all of  then  at VP

Offline ChicagoLion

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  • Literally
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #113 on: December 23, 2024, 04:13:21 PM »
Ramsey and Barkley aren't too shabby, though.
Ramsey back to his best would be a great option when or if that ever happens, Barkley hasn’t shown that he is up to it yet.

Online Clampy

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #114 on: December 23, 2024, 04:24:59 PM »
I think Barkley has been ok and weighed in with a couple of goals.

Offline Dave

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  • Location: Bath
  • GM : 16.09.2025
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #115 on: December 23, 2024, 05:10:11 PM »
His winner against Leipzig has probably made the entire signing worthwhile on its own, given the money it will have been worth.

Offline Rigadon

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  • *
  • Posts: 8992
  • GM : 13.06.26
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #116 on: December 23, 2024, 05:13:20 PM »
Yeah, Barkley is a solid back up signing.  The problem would be if he was signed as a first choice (the kind of signing the old Villa would've made). 

Offline Tony Daleys Shorts

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #117 on: December 24, 2024, 08:57:15 AM »
I think Barkley has been ok and weighed in with a couple of goals.

Three goals in his last six appearances, a very handy return.

Offline rob_bridge

  • Member
  • Posts: 9657
  • Age: 53
  • Location: Shirleyshire
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #118 on: December 24, 2024, 12:30:40 PM »
Too early to tell. I'd say we need mid 60s for 5th and high 60s for guaranteed.

Looking at it now. Liverpool are nailed on and Arsenal and Chelsea look as if they will also get there.

The other 2 places are gettable - if we win next 2 we would look very good at halfway mark. If we lose the next 2 we will look upwards from mid table

Offline brontebilly

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  • Posts: 11106
  • GM : 23.06.2026
Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #119 on: December 24, 2024, 01:36:46 PM »
Is everyone who convinced themselves after Forest that we're definitely finishing somewhere between 7th and 10th still sure that top five is impossible?
After yesterday? No. We were that good. Do I think we will definitely achieve it? No.
But that was the first time I have seen us play like the Winter of 2023 vintage.
One thought I had as the game continued, was who can we bring on without weakening the team?

Watkins, Bailey, Mings, Ramsey, Maatsen.

And in the right circumstances Barkley, Carlos and Buendia.
Watkins not as good as Duran, Ramsey not for 2 seasons now, Carlos is at best unconvincing, last seasons Bailey yes this seasons no. Buendia nope. Mings to see out a game yes , Barkley no where near that Midfield.
Maatsen can do a job but there is a reason why he isn’t starting.
So my point is that it’s difficult to see how we don’t weaken the team from the bench.

Now name any team in the world that wouldn’t be weakened by playing their less good players.
That was sort of my point, that team and specifically the midfield combination of SJM Rogers URI Kamara Onana is as good as it gets and if we could play that midfield until the end of the season we would have a very good chance of CL qualification.
The problem is that we won’t be able to because of fatigue and injury and I do not see any of the potential replacements not weakening us quite a bit.

Bailey was very good playing on the right last season. Id have faith he will catch form again in the second half of the season, can't really be as bad again... Ramsey fit would be a huge addition but there's huge doubts on that

 


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