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Author Topic: Champions League Contention  (Read 272663 times)

Offline Beard82

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1140 on: March 03, 2024, 08:41:09 PM »
Also - if PL gets 5 CL spots - does that have any effect on the other competitions, or does it just mean that we get more European places in total

Online Dave

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1141 on: March 03, 2024, 08:58:51 PM »
Also - if PL gets 5 CL spots - does that have any effect on the other competitions, or does it just mean that we get more European places in total

The second one

Online Meanwood Villa

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1142 on: March 03, 2024, 10:23:06 PM »
I think 4 wins from here will be enough to finish 5th as I can’t see Man U winning 7 of their last 11 games.
I also think if we win on Sunday, another 4 wins after that will be enough to finish 4th.

Re Man Utd, they're playing six of the bottom eight so it's not inconceivable they win a high percentage of their games left. Having said which, they'd need to win eight to overtake us if we win another four. Only one match difference but seems a much taller order somehow.

Online pauliewalnuts

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1143 on: March 03, 2024, 10:34:33 PM »
What a truly remarkable turnaround in, what, a season and a bit?

Averaging 2 points a game since he came here. That's phenomenal, just phenomenal.

I fucking love the way he sweats, loves and celebrates every single point as well.

Unai doesn't sweat, he inspires the air temperature around him to suit his preference.

He's always being demanding of the air.

Online Brazilian Villain

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1144 on: March 04, 2024, 12:37:45 AM »
Even with some pessimistic assumptions regarding the results for English teams, 5th place should be enough for a CL spot.
https://twitter.com/FootRankings/status/1763281942588297472

Offline Dogtanian

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1145 on: March 04, 2024, 08:49:17 AM »
I've come to the conclusion this weekend that we will finish 5th. Man U have too much to do and rely on us massively dropping off to overtake us. We're also just as unlikely to overtake anyone above us to finish higher than fourth. So it's a straight up 11 game fight with Spurs for 4th and 5th.

Our defence just isn't strong enough at the moment, we're conceding too many goals, a lot of them soft too. We're showing great character to hold on in some games or get winners late on, but we're making it hard for ourselves and I think it may just tip the balance in Spurs favour.

A win over Spurs on Sunday will give us a chance, but anything else and I think they'll overtake us and stay there.

It sounds pessimistic, but 5th would be a fantastic result this season. Another season in europe, year on year improvement, and still the possibility of champions league.

Offline Risso

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1146 on: March 04, 2024, 09:01:33 AM »

A win over Spurs on Sunday will give us a chance, but anything else and I think they'll overtake us and stay there.


A chance?! We'd be 8 points clear of them!

And while we've played a game more, we've still a) scored more goals than Spurs and b) conceded fewer goals than Spurs.


Online London Villan

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1147 on: March 04, 2024, 09:03:18 AM »
The key is not to lose to Spurs on Sunday. They have a tough run of fixtures, so as long as we continue to pick up points - even with a couple of defeats, and as long as we don't lose at the weekend we have a very good chance of 4th.

15 points would see us in 4th I think.

Online lovejoy

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1148 on: March 04, 2024, 09:05:22 AM »
Even with some pessimistic assumptions regarding the results for English teams, 5th place should be enough for a CL spot.
https://twitter.com/FootRankings/status/1763281942588297472

its just predictions though, at the start of the season did they have Newcastle and Man U finishing bottom of their groups?

Offline Dogtanian

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1149 on: March 04, 2024, 09:14:09 AM »

A win over Spurs on Sunday will give us a chance, but anything else and I think they'll overtake us and stay there.


A chance?! We'd be 8 points clear of them!

And while we've played a game more, we've still a) scored more goals than Spurs and b) conceded fewer goals than Spurs.

Yep! A chance. I'll upgrade it to a decent chance if we beat them and then win at WHAM! and at home to Wolves.

Offline Somniloquism

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1150 on: March 04, 2024, 09:26:39 AM »
Even with some pessimistic assumptions regarding the results for English teams, 5th place should be enough for a CL spot.
https://twitter.com/FootRankings/status/1763281942588297472

its just predictions though, at the start of the season did they have Newcastle and Man U finishing bottom of their groups?

And to think my support for them seemed to mean nothing. Good job you are telling me the support for them now will mean all the teams will win........

Yes it is all predictions and anything can happen. But strangely pretty much everyone in football seems to be confident that at the end of the year, it will be Italy and England in the top two places.

Online Dave

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1151 on: March 04, 2024, 09:41:27 AM »
Even with some pessimistic assumptions regarding the results for English teams, 5th place should be enough for a CL spot.
https://twitter.com/FootRankings/status/1763281942588297472

its just predictions though, at the start of the season did they have Newcastle and Man U finishing bottom of their groups?

And to think my support for them seemed to mean nothing. Good job you are telling me the support for them now will mean all the teams will win........

Yes it is all predictions and anything can happen. But strangely pretty much everyone in football seems to be confident that at the end of the year, it will be Italy and England in the top two places.

The whole thing's a bit of a footballing Butterfly Effect. Union Saint-Gilloise knocking Eintract Frankfurt out of the Conference League in February could end up being the difference for Villa or Spurs qualifying for the Champions League next season.

Offline Rigadon

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1152 on: March 04, 2024, 09:46:11 AM »
Year on year improvement is ok for a mid table side.  It would be peak villa to finish 5th and it not turning out to be enough, so we have to target 4th at least.  We should be aiming to catch Arsenal too. 

Offline Monty

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1153 on: March 04, 2024, 09:47:59 AM »
It's a funny thing, it means we can't go with a weakened team against Ajax as our performances in Europe are also part of our CL push!

Offline Demitri_C

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Re: Champions League Contention
« Reply #1154 on: March 04, 2024, 09:51:20 AM »
So for me would be great if united/spurs get europa and Newcastle get conference as they will rivals next season so we wont those clubs to have european games like we would if we get CL

 


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