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Author Topic: How Many points from the next 12 games  (Read 3618 times)

Offline ChicagoLion

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #15 on: March 11, 2021, 09:06:45 PM »

Offline TelfordVilla

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #16 on: March 11, 2021, 09:49:28 PM »
I will be disappointed with less than 24. Those 6 matches against spuds, everton, Chelsea and poo will be crucial.

Offline Rory

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #17 on: March 12, 2021, 01:20:25 AM »
14.

Offline algy

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #18 on: March 12, 2021, 06:16:04 AM »
I will be disappointed with less than 24. Those 6 matches against spuds, everton, Chelsea and poo will be crucial.
It's 3 Points for a win, not 2.

36pts, finish 2nd on 76pts. Will do for this season, needs improvement for next:)

Offline sid1964

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #19 on: March 12, 2021, 07:30:22 AM »
8 points at the most - maybe beat the Albion and Palace - Draw Fulham (they have improved a great deal from earlier in the season) and a draw against Newcastle tonight

We never beat Utd (they will get a very dubious penalty in the 110th minute)

Offline Mister E

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #20 on: March 12, 2021, 09:17:33 AM »
Based on form to date, an additional 18.
Based on an optimistic view of the games ahead, an additional 26. This was my immediate estimate.
A more pessimistic analysis of what's in front of us means more like 13. This may occur if JG takes longer to return than early April and if Smith decides to blood some 2 or 3 youngsters, for experience.



Who said something about hedging you bets?!

Offline chrisw1

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #21 on: March 12, 2021, 09:53:01 AM »
We've been playing poorly for weeks now, save for the odd spell like the first half against Wolves.  Unless we can turn a corner and get our mojo back it feels like it's going to be a dissapointing end to the season.  Right now guess would be 10-12.  But Jack may come back on fire and it could be game on for the run in.

Offline Risso

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #22 on: March 12, 2021, 11:33:30 AM »
Based on form to date, an additional 18.
Based on an optimistic view of the games ahead, an additional 26. This was my immediate estimate.
A more pessimistic analysis of what's in front of us means more like 13. This may occur if JG takes longer to return than early April and if Smith decides to blood some 2 or 3 youngsters, for experience.

Who said something about hedging you bets?!

We've got 14 points from the last 12 games, and we've got mostly got harder games to come than we had in the last 12, with Spurs x 2, Everton x 2, Liverpool, Man City, Man U and Chelsea. That's 8 games where we're playing teams in the top 8, compared to 4 teams who were in the top 8 when we played them in the last 12 games we've had. I can see the season going out with a bit of a whimper to be honest, which would be a shame.

Offline paul_e

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #23 on: March 12, 2021, 11:43:15 AM »
I'd take the 10 needed to hit 50, that would be a big step forward from last season. It would feel like a let down after the start we had though so I'd hope we can get into the 15-20 group. 55-60 is normally in the 6-8th area and that would exceed the expectations of almost everyone on here from the poll at the start of the season.

Offline ChicagoLion

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #24 on: March 12, 2021, 11:47:39 AM »
I'd take the 10 needed to hit 50, that would be a big step forward from last season. It would feel like a let down after the start we had though so I'd hope we can get into the 15-20 group. 55-60 is normally in the 6-8th area and that would exceed the expectations of almost everyone on here from the poll at the start of the season.
I think 10 or lower would be very worrying (relegation form) and would indicate a bit of a malaise has set in.

Offline paul_e

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #25 on: March 12, 2021, 11:56:53 AM »
I'd take the 10 needed to hit 50, that would be a big step forward from last season. It would feel like a let down after the start we had though so I'd hope we can get into the 15-20 group. 55-60 is normally in the 6-8th area and that would exceed the expectations of almost everyone on here from the poll at the start of the season.
I think 10 or lower would be very worrying (relegation form) and would indicate a bit of a malaise has set in.


True, but it would still mean comfortable mid-table and our best season since MoN left so I'd take it even if it is disappointing after where we were at Christmas. If we did that with Wesley getting a few games under his belt and a few more cameos from the academy players I'd accept it as part of our progress. As I said I'd prefer something like 16-17 points to keep up the decent performances that we've seen most of the season.

Offline ChicagoLion

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #26 on: March 12, 2021, 12:00:22 PM »
I'd take the 10 needed to hit 50, that would be a big step forward from last season. It would feel like a let down after the start we had though so I'd hope we can get into the 15-20 group. 55-60 is normally in the 6-8th area and that would exceed the expectations of almost everyone on here from the poll at the start of the season.
I think 10 or lower would be very worrying (relegation form) and would indicate a bit of a malaise has set in.


True, but it would still mean comfortable mid-table and our best season since MoN left so I'd take it even if it is disappointing after where we were at Christmas. If we did that with Wesley getting a few games under his belt and a few more cameos from the academy players I'd accept it as part of our progress. As I said I'd prefer something like 16-17 points to keep up the decent performances that we've seen most of the season.
bringing on a few youngster's would be very welcome.

Offline Risso

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #27 on: March 12, 2021, 12:09:10 PM »
10 points from the final 12 games would be hugely worrying. That would mean 24 points from 24 games, which would be the last ⅔ of the season played at just better than relegation form, with a point a game being the average return for the sides finishing 16th and 17th in the last few years. That would indicate that the early season form was a bit of a flash in the pan and that despite the spend, we still hadn't improved very much. I'm sure we'll do better than that though.

Offline chrisw1

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #28 on: March 12, 2021, 12:31:11 PM »
10 points from the final 12 games would be hugely worrying. That would mean 24 points from 24 games, which would be the last ⅔ of the season played at just better than relegation form, with a point a game being the average return for the sides finishing 16th and 17th in the last few years. That would indicate that the early season form was a bit of a flash in the pan and that despite the spend, we still hadn't improved very much. I'm sure we'll do better than that though.
Agreed.  It's true that the end position would show excellent progress from last year which most of us would have been happy with at the start of the season.  But it would also be true that we've been pretty rubbish since Christmas and the management team haven't been able to find a way to get out of a slump.  It would also be a massive opportunity missed to really kick on in exceptional circumstances.

Offline SoccerHQ

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Re: How Many points from the next 12 games
« Reply #29 on: March 12, 2021, 12:40:20 PM »
Thought 60 was still possible a few weeks back but we need Jack to play majority of what's left to even get close.

Probably going to be in 50-55 point range now. Win tonight and v West Brom and Palace and a "shock" win v team who'll finish above us (please finally Man. United) and then add on a few draws to that.

End of season looks brutal but it might turn out that Spurs rest  half their team as they're still in europa at that stage and Chelsea on last day have already secured top 4 and they might still be in CL so could be chance of 4 points if it pans out like that.

Need to win tonight to get dreaming again.

 


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