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Author Topic: Relegation Watch  (Read 148899 times)

Offline Mister E

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1200 on: July 19, 2020, 05:15:01 PM »
Talking about home and away performance is a bit of a red herring, isn't it? - without a crowd the home-performance record since the start of this mini-league has softened generally.
« Last Edit: July 19, 2020, 05:36:55 PM by Mister E »

Offline themossman

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1201 on: July 19, 2020, 05:16:47 PM »
Arsenal are the mother of all wildcards. Having spent most of the season chucking points at bottom half teams (except us) they are now the form team.

The cup is double edged. On the one hand, a bounce from beating city, on the other defending with 10% possession must surely have knackered a few of them, and we can hope they‘ll be disinterested in remaining league games. But then there’s Watford.

Bottom line is that there are plenty of reasons to bring the game to them and aim for 3 points, so we should. If we don’t go for it we will regret it.

Offline mr underhill

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1202 on: July 19, 2020, 05:40:51 PM »
The sacking of Nige could be a super astute move from Watford - if Deeney's leading the vanguard there's a real danger of them picking up points.

Offline KevinGage

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1203 on: July 19, 2020, 05:44:06 PM »
Even during this restart there have been so many missed opportunities.

AEG's last week the most recent one. But our performance and attitude in the games against Sheff U and Newcastle was off, when good results there could have set us up nicely.  Then we've done the typical Villa thing of not even trying to make a contest of it against the moneybags clubs such as Chelsea and Man U.

All that needs to be parked now.

Man for man both Arsenal and West Ham are better than us. But they shouldn't want to win more than we do. I'm resigned to going down but still hopeful (just about) that we can pull it off. Go flat out in the next two (not gung ho football, but not the cautious, tepid shite we have seen in most of our home games since June) and what will be will be.

Offline The_ads

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1204 on: July 19, 2020, 05:52:41 PM »
Incredible.

Permutations just got a lot cleaner.

Here’s my take:

Watford will struggle to get a point from there last two games, clearly in disarray and not very good either. Yes City and Arse will be on the beach but I’d still bet against Watford. Let’s be generous and say they end the season on 35 points with a GD of -26.

Bournemouth just bottled it. I think they will draw against Everton but even if they win, then end on 37 and a GD of say -25.

So if we win both, we survive.
If we get 4 points, we need to improve our GD by 2 to survive
If we get 3 points we can still survive if Watford lose both (probable) and Bournemouth don’t win against Everton.

What a chance!

How do Bournemouth end on 37?? Forget them, they are cooked.

If Villa win both games we survive. Simple as

Offline N'ZMAV

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1205 on: July 19, 2020, 05:58:28 PM »
if only AEG was a decent footballer...

Offline hilts_coolerking

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1206 on: July 19, 2020, 06:07:51 PM »
If Villa win both games we survive. Simple as
Except it isn't.

Offline Ads

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1207 on: July 19, 2020, 06:10:25 PM »
If we win both games, we will stop up. Watford won't win their next two.

Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1208 on: July 19, 2020, 06:12:32 PM »
They probably only need to win one. Let's see where we are on Tuesday night. It would be bloody lovely to have TWO results go our way on the same day. Don't think that has happened under the current monarch.

Offline ChicagoLion

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1209 on: July 19, 2020, 06:13:46 PM »
Can we put someone other than Smithin charge of substitutions?
Any one just anyone.

Offline hilts_coolerking

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1210 on: July 19, 2020, 06:18:07 PM »
If we win both games, we will stop up. Watford won't win their next two.
And that's my point.  We have to win our next two and hope other results go our way.  It's out of our hands now. 

Offline Behind Bluenose Lines

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1211 on: July 19, 2020, 06:20:03 PM »
Stop it, everyone. You're in danger of raising my hopes up!

Offline Villafirst

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1212 on: July 19, 2020, 06:25:00 PM »
Frankly, I'm amazed that after scraping a paltry 6 points from the last 12 games, yes that's 6 from 36, that we have any chance of staying up! Even 10 points from the last 12 games and we'd be almost safe.....so infuriating! Particularly the late goals conceded over the season.

Offline ChicagoLion

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1213 on: July 19, 2020, 06:34:57 PM »
Stop it, everyone. You're in danger of raising my hopes up!
Don’t worry, normal service will be resumed, once we enter the field of play.
We are still going down.

Offline JJ-AV

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #1214 on: July 19, 2020, 06:54:06 PM »
We can't afford to lose to Arsenal. Bournemouth are capable of beating Everton and Watford getting atleast a point from Arsenal.

 


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