The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[ADVILLAFAN]

Doesn’t about 70 points usually get you a 6th place finish?

If so we’d need 14 points from 16 games to secure a place in the playoffs.

[brentastonb6]

Why?

They're 19th and have scored 22 goals in 30 games, conceding over 40.

I'm not sure why our form goes out the window but theirs doesn't? They beat a pub team in Sunderland and a Wednesday side who haven't scored a league goal since Boxing Day, who also had 9 men. For a reminder, we've just won 6 on the bounce and sit 3rd, having scored more than double what they have.

I'll have some of what you're smoking if you want me to be worried about that shite from B9.

That will be the same Sheffield Wednesday who won at B6 and the pub team we "smashed " 2-1
Dare me to have the temerity to doubt your optimism
Enjoy the rest of your weekend - I'm off for a brandy and spliff

You mean three fabulously crafted goals at Sheff Wed ? Oops I mean three gifted goals .I don’t underestimate Small Heath but would expect our in form team + 40,000 supporters to see us over the line .

[VinnieChase84]

Blues have their cup replay Tuesday evening too. Hopefully a few knocks and a red or two would be lovely!
Roll on Sunday

[eamonn]

The Cahill game was 3-1

And the Agent Ridgewell one was 1-2

[paul_e]

Doesn’t about 70 points usually get you a 6th place finish?

If so we’d need 14 points from 16 games to secure a place in the playoffs.

70 points has been enough 3 times in the championship and it was as high as 80 last year.  This season I suspect 75-76 will be the playoffs and 86-87 will be 2nd.  There seems to be a lot more teams in the chase for the playoffs and more in the relegation battle than you'd normally see by this time of the season which may drag those targets even lower but I suspect they're about right.

[Brassneck]

As I look at that table, I find it very difficult to envisage any of the top 5 not being there at the end of the season. Only Bristol City in 6th need look over their shoulders. The other 5 are in a straight battle for automatic, or more realistically, 2nd to 5th are in a straight battle for the runners up spot.

At this point, I'll be disappointed if we fail to reach second place - We have as good a chance as any of our rivals, probably slightly better given our squad, slightly easier run of fixtures and 5 point lead over Fulham. Of course, it's possible that Fulham will be above us by the time we walk off the pitch at Craven Cottage in a fortnight.

I know it's ifs, buts and maybes but that shot that hit Hogan, on the line against Brentford (or was it Middlesbrough?) at home haunts me. I'd hate to finish 3rd by 2 points due to that freak clearance.

[Bad English]

Blues have their cup replay Tuesday evening too. Hopefully a few knocks and a red or two would be lovely!
Roll on Sunday

Their cup opponents will be quite reassured as they know that the Rags will have both eyes on their cup final.

[chrisw1]

Blues have their cup replay Tuesday evening too. Hopefully a few knocks and a red or two would be lovely!
Roll on Sunday

Their cup opponents will be quite reassured as they know that the Rags will have both eyes on their cup final.

Ha, absolutely!  They will be just as happy if one of their thugs puts their studs through Jacks knee to ruin our season.

[MONCABA]

Thank you Mr Stroud.  That was a top refereeing performance.

[Nastylee]

Just need Norwich to have their 1 game in 6 tomorrow.

[ADVILLAFAN]

Guaranteed to be either 2nd or 3rd after this weekend’s games now.

[clash city rocker]

Don't think Norwich will do us any favours today but I have a suspicion that Bolton might.

[Pete3206]

Guaranteed to be either 2nd or 3rd after this weekend’s games now.

Bit premature to say that methinks

[Chris Smith]

Guaranteed to be either 2nd or 3rd after this weekend’s games now.

Bit premature to say that methinks

No, just basic arithmetic.

[Ad@m]

I think Pete may have interpreted the post a bit differently...