The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[SoccerHQ]

Derby will draw loads of games in the run in.

If they keep dropping points that obviously means what you need for second is reduced.

I think ten more wins will do it for us. Very realistic when you look at what we have left.

[garyfouroaks]

Fifty one points to play for, and Wolves are 12 points ahead. There is still much to play for.

[Ads]

I think 11 wins to be sure.

[MONCABA]

Thank you Bolton.

[Ad@m]

Oh Brizzle. What a cracking result - screwing the Blues whilst helping us.

[Toronto Villa]

Derby will draw loads of games in the run in.

If they keep dropping points that obviously means what you need for second is reduced.

I think ten more wins will do it for us. Very realistic when you look at what we have left.

Agreed. I was making that point earlier. It was never about what we needed by way of points per game. It’s what happens in totality with us getting points and others dropping them. We have tremendous momentum and confidence and you can see it starting to slip elsewhere like Derby and Bristol City. Cardiff with their game in hand and a very experienced manager concern me a bit but over the course of the remainder of the season we’ll see them off too.

I think in the end with our resources and experience we’ll finish 4 or 5 points ahead of 3rd but fall about the same in points (maybe 6 or 7 points) shy of Wolves.

[villan from luton]

This division is crazy and there is no way of knowing who will bet who. I am worried about tomorrow, Fulham to me are a big danger if it gets to play offs. Derby our big danger, but have they got a better team/squad than us?

[West Derby Villan]

This division is crazy and there is no way of knowing who will bet who. I am worried about tomorrow, Fulham to me are a big danger if it gets to play offs. Derby our big danger, but have they got a better team/squad than us?

No

.........(Friday night bravado)

[villan from luton]

This division is crazy and there is no way of knowing who will bet who. I am worried about tomorrow, Fulham to me are a big danger if it gets to play offs. Derby our big danger, but have they got a better team/squad than us?

No

.........(Friday night bravado)

Totally agree. I am not the biggest Bruce fan but think he has instilled a massive attitude in the squad, with lots of help from Terry and the likes of Snodgrass and Chester. I think I read Derby are -5 in goal difference, is that correct or is it my little alcohol kicking in?

[Matt Collins]

There’s one automatic place to play for and at least four teams in with a shout

So you’d have to say it’s still probably more likely we’re in the play offs. But I’d currently make us favourites for second

[QuintonVilla]

I also think Fulham will be the main threat for 2nd. Derby will implode like they do every season. I can see Fulham giving Forest a bit of a tanking today.

[Matt Collins]

That Fulham game in a couple of weeks is massive

After that Fulham play Bristol, Wolves, Derby, sheff United and Preston in a row though.

[SoccerHQ]

No way are Fulham winning all those games.

They're a good team but too much to do to get second imo.

[andyh]

Cardiff ‘s game in hand is a worry. Win that and they are back above us.

[SoccerHQ]

Cardiff ‘s game in hand is a worry. Win that and they are back above us.

Cardiff's fixture in March and April

Derby-Cardiff
Cardiff-Burton
Sheffield United-Cardiff
Cardiff-Wolves
Villa-Cardiff
Norwich-Cardiff

Today they're at Leeds and next week go to Millwall.

They blew their chance over xmas. Even an o.k run and they'd be comfortably clear in second even with our great run.