Where will we finish next May?

[ciggiesnbeer]

Here is what happened next season to the teams who came in 17th place. (going back 10 seasons)

WBA - Relegated 19th
Portsmouth - 9th
Wigan - 14th
Fulham - 7th
Hull - Relegated 19th
West Ham - Relegated 20th
Wolves - Relegated 20th
QPR - Relegated 20th
Sunderland - 14th
West Brom - 13th

Lets hope we can do a Fulham.

Question is, how many of those teams were in a position to say this isn't working and gut  the whole first team to pretty much start from scratch? From memory I'd guess Portsmouth doing a 'appy 'arry special would be my only suggestion.

I'd guess that most of the rest carried on in the same manner that got them into that position to start with.

At least we're trying to break the cycle.

Agree. Although all of them except the most recent two were relegated at some point in the following years which makes an 80% relegation rate in the last decade a bit hair raising...

The one extra reason for optimism is if you go back 1 extra year then the team is Everton who were 17th which is a far more comforting prospect I think.

[ozzjim]

Interesting little thing. Going on the last 10 years there is a 50% chance of use going down next season then. You can see why the bookies and pundits think we will struggle, having lost our 3 most recognisable, and arguably best players through our spine too. Sherwood has a massive job to get it together this season.

[Gregorys Boy]

Not answering that until the 31st of August at least, fuck you all! All I will say is that their are at least three teams worse than us I think...

[mr underhill]

I don't think we will go down, but I'm not expecting us to rise very much either. A season of transition if ever there was one. 13th-14th.

[itbrvilla]

Top of the bottom.

[frank black]

This sums up my thoughts..

From Espn ' The Ocho!' (I had to)

http://www.espnfc.co.uk/blog/tactics-and-analysis/67/post/2547839/in-the-premier-league-aston-villa-cant-be-much-worse

[Gregorys Boy]

I don't think we will go down, but I'm not expecting us to rise very much either. A season of transition if ever there was one. 13th-14th.

I would be happy with that, just not sure if it will happen.  Think it depends largely on our start and how some of the signings settle.

[preston28]

14th.

[JUAN PABLO]

11th