Don't feel at all optimistic. Gabby would make a big difference, but would play Fonz ahead of Carew:
Friedel - Young, Collins, Dunne, Warnock - Ireland, Clark, Bannan, Downing - Young - Gabby or Fonz
I'd play Ireland on the right - in the absence of any other options - and put Ash in the central role where he's been much better this season.