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Author Topic: Relegation Watch  (Read 148865 times)

Offline Ads

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #960 on: July 13, 2020, 12:49:41 PM »
Absolutely. We have to play on the front foot again, ride our luck and score the first goal.

Offline Drummond

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #961 on: July 13, 2020, 12:55:46 PM »
So we need.....

Man City x2 wins (Bournemouth and Watford)
Southampton x2 wins (Bournemouth and Brighton)
Eve x1 win (Bournemouth)
Newc x1 win (Brighton)
Man U x1 (West Ham)
Arse x1 win (Watford)
Burnley x1 win (Brighton)

Brighton therefore have Southampton, Newcastle and Burnley. You'd imagine they'll pick up something in there.
West Ham have Watford, Arsenal and Villa.
Watford have West Ham, Man City and Arsenal.
Bournemouth have Man City, Southampton and Everton
Villa have Everton, Arsenal and West Ham.

Out of those games, you'd least want Watford's run in, they'l be shitting it, though they've won their last two.
Brighton's would be regarded as best (particularly as they have more points anyway)
West Ham will feel good about their's as it's all in their hands, though if Watford beat them.....
Bournemouth will feel after yesterday that they can do it with their last two games.
And we're still in there if we can beat Everton.

I'd thought Brighton may have an outside chance of being caught but they'll be ok. This could go in any number of ways, the bookies have it like this....

Bournemouth 1/10
Villa 1/9
Watford 7/2
West Ham 7/1
Brighton 80/1

I'm surprised at West Ham being as far out as they are.

Offline rob_bridge

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #962 on: July 13, 2020, 01:05:18 PM »
I thought pre lockdown it would be Norwich and Brighton and one other. They came back much fresher

Offline Damo70

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #963 on: July 13, 2020, 01:20:14 PM »
In my own mind I had already removed Brighton from the relegation equation a few games back. Around the same time I had totally written off Norwich. I had narrowed it down to any two from four (Watford,  Bournemouth, West Ham, Villa) for the last few games.
« Last Edit: July 13, 2020, 01:21:55 PM by Damo70 »

Offline SoccerHQ

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #964 on: July 13, 2020, 01:29:55 PM »
i'm more inclined to go for Watford beat West Ham.

Not for me. There's a chance Watford will lose their last three and their GD could take a hammering so 34 points could be enough to finish above them.

For the last game with West Ham I'd rather go there with them safe or all but safe and just content to play out a point with us. That's far more likely if they win the game with their GD.

One wildcard is Bournemouth now. After last night's second half I don't know what to expect from them v Southampton and Everton. One boost is Ake got injured first half so their defence is still pretty weak.

Offline SoccerHQ

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #965 on: July 13, 2020, 01:32:00 PM »
We could be safe after Arsenal. Requires us to win our next two but given I was thinking we could well be down on Thursday it's a nice difference. Incredible how much a win inspires confidence. Thursday is so big. Winnable game in the circumstances, got to keep the momentum going.

There is a formula where we could be safe after Arsenal? Even if we won our next two and Watford lost their next two we'd be on 36 and Watford would still be on 34. We'd be in a great position but still have work to do on the final day.

Offline Meanwood Villa

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #966 on: July 13, 2020, 01:45:51 PM »
Sorry I'm talking bollocks. We can't be safe after Arsenal. We could be ahead of three teams going into the last day though which would be reassuring.

Offline Drummond

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #967 on: July 13, 2020, 02:12:24 PM »
In my own mind I had already removed Brighton from the relegation equation a few games back. Around the same time I had totally written off Norwich. I had narrowed it down to any two from four (Watford,  Bournemouth, West Ham, Villa) for the last few games.

So had I until yesterday, then after looking at the games, I have done again.

Online ChicagoLion

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #968 on: July 13, 2020, 02:17:16 PM »
We are still favourites to go down with Bournemouth and rightly so.
We are more than likely going to need to win our next 3 to stay up and that is unlikely,if you truly believe that we can, I suggest you stick as much as you can afford on Us. At 5 to 1, I doubt that many will be taking that on..

Online Marlon From Bearwood

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #969 on: July 13, 2020, 04:53:40 PM »
We were 80/1 to get promoted on 1st March last season. We then beat Derby 4-0 and dropped to 33/1, at which point my mate lumped on us. He was particularly happy at Wembley after the PO Final. 

Offline Ads

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #970 on: July 13, 2020, 07:38:56 PM »
If West Ham beat Watford, with Watford losing to Man City, then the goal difference, even accounting for Man United battering West Ham, would make them safe and "on the beach".

So West Ham to beat Watford.
Watford to.then lose to Man City and Arsenal.
Us to beat Everton and Arsenal and avoid defeat final day.

Job...jobbed.

As long as Bournemouth only draw at best with Southampton, as they're likely to get hammered the weekend away at Man City.

Offline Big Ming

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #971 on: July 13, 2020, 08:00:34 PM »
I have a horrible feeling that an engineered draw will be all West Ham and Watford need.


Online Sexual Ealing

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #972 on: July 13, 2020, 08:05:15 PM »
I have a horrible feeling that an engineered draw will be all West Ham and Watford need.



A draw suits neither of them. Bournemouth and, to a lesser extent, Villa have winnable games. Either club (Watford or Wham) would be mad to limit their points total through choice.

Offline Meanwood Villa

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #973 on: July 13, 2020, 08:11:00 PM »
A draw in that match wouldn't be a bad result for us at all.

Offline Meanwood Villa

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Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #974 on: July 13, 2020, 08:12:36 PM »
Relying on Arsenal to beat Watford is foolish. Would much rather have the chance to catch West Ham with a win last day and in our hands. Everything comes down to us winning matches of course.

 


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