I've changed my mind in terms of what I think the split will be. I think there's a top 3* that will be somewhat clear of the rest, but I see little difference between 4th to 6th, so I think 4th is as realistic as 5th for us now.
Annoying as it is to say, I think it depends on how long Spurs can keep their level where it is. They've definitely benefited from no European games, and they've been lucky with no injuries to key players.
* can't fully decide on Arsenal, to be honest. They look great at times but also very beatable, and Raya looks a liability.