Quote from: KRS on Today at 06:16:25 PM

Taking Liverpool and Chelsea fixtures into consideration, I think we’ll need 9pts from our next 5 fixtures (takes us to 63pts). If we do that, then I don’t see Chelsea being good or consistent enough under Rosenior to catch us or Liverpool…so worst case scenario would be 5th place. To stay in 4th, we may need to get a draw when Liverpool come to Villa Park…but if we take care of our own business in the next 5 games then it will be done and dusted by then (hopefully).

Think Pat MacMahon was pointing at 63 points a number of weeks back, and that still feels about right (i.e., no more than 4 wins in the last 7 games for Liverpool or Chelsea, with 2 of those being head to heads, and a further 1 for Liverpool being against us). If either of them manage that, frankly that will have been a superb performance. I think there’s no chance of that happening for one, let alone both.

To be honest, the biggest threat has been our own poor form these past weeks, during which it’s been hard to see where our points were going to come from. But once again, if we were to fall away to that extent, we would be in territory unknown under Unai. It doesn’t feel like that is where we are headed right now.