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Author Topic: Anyone starting to get worried?  (Read 115735 times)

Offline chrisw1

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #675 on: December 06, 2019, 09:06:15 AM »
The worry this year is that there aren't really any obvious fall guys.

Watford are struggling, but they've got decent quality and could turn it around.  Everton are surely too strong.  Pretty much everyone else is picking up results.

We're playing some pretty good football and look too strong to go down, but we're still getting dragged into it.  I think it will be a high points total cut off this season and we'll be in the mix.  I thought 15-19th at the start and still feel that's about right.  The Jan window will be vital.

Offline kippaxvilla2

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #676 on: December 06, 2019, 09:10:50 AM »
Agree with the minimum points tally.  Cannot see it being 36-38 as in previous years.  West Ham went down with 42 once didnít they.  Could be similar to that.

Offline Axl Rose

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #677 on: December 06, 2019, 09:47:22 AM »
A little bit now, but we've got some very winnable games coming up. Kind of.

Offline lukey27

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #678 on: December 06, 2019, 10:14:12 AM »
I think anything over 20 points at the halfway mark [after the Norwich game] would mean we're slightly ahead of the curve.

We have played most of last years top 7 away from home already, I think we've only not played Liverpool away. So there are plenty of opportunities to go and pick points up away from home in the second half of the season and we've already shown at home we're extremely competitive.

The other results are white noise as far as I'm concerned at this stage, if we get 42 points there will be three teams below us at the end of the season.

Offline Ad@m

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #679 on: December 06, 2019, 11:17:50 AM »
Watford and Norwich look nailed on to go down. Watford would have to win the next 4 in a row to get to more than a point a game and they've only won 1 all season.

Similarly, Norwich would need to win 3 out of 4 to be above a point a game at the half way point. For a team averaging more than 2 goals conceded every match I just don't see it happening.

So for me that's 2 of the 3 spots wrapped up. You've then got 5 points separating Everton in 18th from Sheff Utd in 9th. Any of that lot (Arsenal excluded) could go down and we're right in the middle of it.

It obviously won't be easy but with the run of games we've got coming up we should be picking up plenty of points. If we don't, we deserve to go down.

Ultimately though, we just need to be better than just one of Newcastle, Southampton, West Ham, etc, etc, all of whom look dreadful.

Offline algy

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #680 on: December 06, 2019, 01:01:07 PM »
I usually just watch the goal difference until the mid-point of the season, ultimately points decide it but early in the season a few freak results - or an easy/hard run of games - can massively skew the table.

On that basis, I don't think we're in any realistic danger.  We score goals at rate you'd expect from a top-half team, and are more like bottom-half for goals conceded but not awful.  I'm saying we're basically a mid-table team who's had a hard run of fixtures.  Not bad for a newly promoted team who've mostly been playing together for less than 6 months.

Absolutely no worries about Villa, Smith, or anything else.

Offline hipkiss92

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #681 on: December 06, 2019, 01:06:21 PM »
Our form against the bottom 10 reads P7 W4 D2 L1. Over a 38 game season would give us 76 points.

As someone else has said, we've played all bar Liverpool of last seasons top 7 away from home, and were unfortunate not to take more points from those.

A good couple of additions in Jan and more games to conti ue gelling the squad together, we'll be fine come the end of the season.

Offline Toronto Villa

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #682 on: December 06, 2019, 02:28:38 PM »
Nigel Pearson is expected to be the new manager of Watford. Thatís one relegation spot locked in. Need to avoid the other two.

Offline cdbullyweefan

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #683 on: December 06, 2019, 03:06:50 PM »
Not sure we can say it's a guaranteed relegation when he's never been relegated and escaped relegation in hugely unlikely circumstances last time he was in this league.

Offline Toronto Villa

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #684 on: December 06, 2019, 04:00:45 PM »
Given he was dumped earlier this season from a Belgian First Division B side Iíll take my chances on them going down or him not lasting long enough to see it happen.

Offline PeterWithesShin

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #685 on: December 06, 2019, 04:16:07 PM »
Mental club appoints mental manager, what could possibly go wrong.

Offline Monty

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #686 on: December 06, 2019, 06:14:46 PM »
Pearson really has had an impressively weird career hasn't he?

Offline cdbullyweefan

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #687 on: December 06, 2019, 06:36:53 PM »
Given he was dumped earlier this season from a Belgian First Division B side Iíll take my chances on them going down or him not lasting long enough to see it happen.

Well, it's entirely possible. But far from a guarantee. Especially given that even that useless bellend Newcastle manager has been getting decent results! 😥

Offline pauliewalnuts

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #688 on: December 06, 2019, 06:37:11 PM »
The worry this year is that there aren't really any obvious fall guys.


If we were Watford fans we'd be feeling doomed right now.

Offline Toronto Villa

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Re: Anyone starting to get worried?
« Reply #689 on: December 06, 2019, 07:28:22 PM »
Iím probably a little irrationally fucked off right now at some of our results this season. But on the whole weíve competed well against the top sides even if we have blown the games. What gives me hope is that against the sides around which is really the league we are in weíve done quite well. Thatís what will matter in the end this season. Watford for me look fucked. Then after that it will be crap shoot for those last two spots. I still think it will be Norwich, and then any one of about 6 teams. And yes it includes us. We need a good January window. Pay what is needed and/or loan for whoever is needed for us to stay up.

 


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