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Author Topic: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths  (Read 280986 times)

Offline IFWaters

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2310 on: April 24, 2018, 10:14:26 PM »
Cardiff have the points advantage but probably hardest game, Hull away.

Fulham have Sunderland and the scum... Very likely to get 6 points.

We have 2 hardest games, have to win both and both teams above us need to choke.

I could see Fulham and us winning on the weekend, Cardiff drawing leaving Fulham on 88, Cardiff 87 and us on 85,still not confirmed and having to play first 11.

Offline SoccerHQ

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2311 on: April 24, 2018, 10:15:27 PM »
We'll still have a tiny chance of second going into the last day if we win on Saturday and Cardiff draw v Hull.

Pretty much nil though as no way are SHA getting anything off Fulham now they're safe.

Not sure whether to be pleased we've at least kept going and got some momentum going into the play offs or frustrated by all the non performances after the Wolves game.

Probably the latter.

Offline QuintonVilla

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2312 on: April 24, 2018, 10:18:45 PM »
If Fulham win on Friday night they’ll be 6 points ahead. They’re playing Sunderland.

Assuming they do, it’s play offs

Of all the contenders I think id fancy derby in the semi finals

We could make that more likely by losing on Saturday. Though it would mean they’d done the double against us
We've got zero chance of automatic as Fulham will hammer Sunderland. However, we need to just win both of our games and see who we end up with in the play offs. I can't see us winning at Millwall though as we'll be in play off mode and they'll probably need to win.

I think it will be Boro in the semis.

Offline Tony Erdington

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2313 on: April 24, 2018, 10:36:52 PM »
yes most likely boro, so as our badge used to say "Prepared"

Offline QuintonVilla

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2314 on: April 24, 2018, 10:40:59 PM »
So the predicament on Friday, do we want Fulham to win to increase their chances of 2nd and to hopefully avoid them in the play offs or do we want them to stumble and continue our very slim hopes of finishing 2nd?

Online eric woolban woolban

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2315 on: April 24, 2018, 10:50:04 PM »
Whilst still possible we have to dream of second.

Stranger things have happened !

Offline SoccerHQ

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2316 on: April 24, 2018, 10:50:54 PM »
So the predicament on Friday, do we want Fulham to win to increase their chances of 2nd and to hopefully avoid them in the play offs or do we want them to stumble and continue our very slim hopes of finishing 2nd?

Fulham winning dosen't really matter as Cardiff could just win at Hull and finish us off for our very slim hopes.

Said all along I'd rather play Cardiff at some stage in the play offs so two Fulham wins would be fine by me as Cardiff would have to match that and they'll be more doubts creeping in after tonight.

Offline QuintonVilla

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2317 on: April 24, 2018, 11:01:46 PM »
Carlsberg don't do automatic promotions but if they did...

Cardiff draw both games and finish on 88 points.
We win both games and finish on 88 points and a better goal difference.
Fulham draw v Sunderland and are leading 1-0 at The Sty on the last day, they're on 89 points and going up. Up pops Craig Gardner in the 93rd minute to equalise. Fulham drop to 87 points. We're up and Gardner comes out after the game saying he's buzzing his tits off as he's been a Villa fan all his life after all. Small Heath add it to their history in their club diary, "helped the Vile get promoted 17/18".

Offline MONCABA

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2318 on: April 24, 2018, 11:13:13 PM »
Believe.....

Offline Matt Collins

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2319 on: April 25, 2018, 06:43:14 AM »
Our maximum points haul is 88

Cardiff better that with one win

Fulham equal it with one win and have +3 goal difference compared to us. If they somehow fail to beat Sunderland on Friday I won’t be able to help holding out hope. But I’m prettt much hoping they overtake Cardiff

Still think the best play off outcome is for us to lose to derby on Saturday so we can draw them. Think boro are a greater threat. And if we beat derby we open the door to Millwall or Brentford


Offline SoccerHQ

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2320 on: April 25, 2018, 11:22:02 AM »
Boro will win their last two games looking at who they've got.

We're getting them.

Offline robbo1874

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2321 on: April 25, 2018, 11:35:09 AM »
We'll still have a tiny chance of second going into the last day if we win on Saturday and Cardiff draw v Hull.

Pretty much nil though as no way are SHA getting anything off Fulham now they're safe.

Not sure whether to be pleased we've at least kept going and got some momentum going into the play offs or frustrated by all the non performances after the Wolves game.

Probably the latter.
you’d like to think, as pros, blues players would try and get a result against Fulham. Fkrs will no doubt fold though, unless Fulham massively bottle it. TBH when I was saying we still had a chance of second a week or so ago, I hadn’t realised Fulham’s last game was against blose. Noses will celebrate a loss more than them winning if it means we miss out in 2nd- guaranteed.

Offline MONCABA

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2322 on: April 25, 2018, 11:45:35 AM »
I don't think Cardiff will win either of their next two games. Teams have now wised up to their bully boy tactics. Fulham may also struggle to beat Sunderland. Therefore,  if we beat Derby, as I expect us to to, this will set up a fantastic last day. SHA may still have a part to play in helping their illustrious neighbours to the promised land.  Believe.....

Offline SoccerHQ

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2323 on: April 25, 2018, 11:52:08 AM »
Cardiff will beat Reading even if blindfolded.

Hull away will be tricker, Hull have scored a fair few goals in last two months and also comfortably held us to a 0-0.

Offline Ads

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Re: The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths
« Reply #2324 on: April 25, 2018, 12:19:04 PM »
Cardiff will get 4 points. Wouldn't surprise me if Fulham got 6.

Millwall at Boro so that's realistically their last roll of the dice for 6th.

 


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