The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[Ads]

I think Bristol will do them. Concentration has what's [fortunately] let Bristol down the past few weeks, but with it being a derby and hopefully gives them a bit of focus.

[sickbeggar]

well yeah could happen but that's not really the points we want them to drop ideally. I have them dropping points against both bristol and derby but if they lose them the points go to our other promotion rivals

[Brassneck]

Provided that we get 3 points tomorrow, a Cardiff/Bristol draw wouldn't be a bad result. Cardiff then have to travel to Brentford while we play at home to QPR the following week. These next 2 games provide a great opportunity to wipe out the 4 point gap.

Interestingly, Wolves could do us a massive favour tomorrow by beating Fulham. They also have to go to Cardiff in April but I worry that they will already be promoted by then and will have the foot off the gas.

[Toronto Villa]

Along with losing at Villa Park, we could do with Wolves doing us many favours during the run in. They have to play Fulham, Cardiff and Derby. I’ll be happy to deal with the so called humiliation of coming in second to them but going up. Last time we finished second in Duvision 2 we spent the next 30 years or so in the top flight while they bounced around all over the place, back to their rightful state of being inferior to us.

[SoccerHQ]

I wish i was as confident as some on here.  While i can see us not losing that much, it's the draws that will kill you. Either way in the next 6 games, we'd be aiming at 4 points (goal difference willing) more than cardiff get to be above them so....

bristol c 1
brentford away 1
barnsley 3
birmingham3
derby away 0
burton3

So a guesstimate i make that 11 points, meaning we'd need 15. Obviously getting above them with 7 games to go isn't essential but we'd certainly need to be in striking distance to take advantage of them with their hard run in April and beat them of course. Plus we have to hope the other teams around us don't do anything decent in the same period. I don't know...think it's going to be decided right at the death.

Time to get above them will be mid April. They have Sheffield United on April 2nd, Wolves on 7th and then us the following Tuesday.

We have Reading and Norwich in the run up to that so it's possible we could make up the four points in those two games.

[Brassneck]

I wish i was as confident as some on here.  While i can see us not losing that much, it's the draws that will kill you. Either way in the next 6 games, we'd be aiming at 4 points (goal difference willing) more than cardiff get to be above them so....

bristol c 1
brentford away 1
barnsley 3
birmingham3
derby away 0
burton3

So a guesstimate i make that 11 points, meaning we'd need 15. Obviously getting above them with 7 games to go isn't essential but we'd certainly need to be in striking distance to take advantage of them with their hard run in April and beat them of course. Plus we have to hope the other teams around us don't do anything decent in the same period. I don't know...think it's going to be decided right at the death.

Time to get above them will be mid April. They have Sheffield United on April 2nd, Wolves on 7th and then us the following Tuesday.

We have Reading and Norwich in the run up to that so it's possible we could make up the four points in those two games.

Or make up the 4 points now and go a further 4 points ahead in April.

[eamonn]

That's just greedy though.

[SoccerHQ]

Knowing us it will be the other way round...we'll fall 8 points behind and then just fail to claw it back by the last game.

[Percy McCarthy]

We could yet be grateful to the shambles that is Small Heath for somehow getting themselves together to hammer Cardiff. 3-0 I think it was.

[SoccerHQ]

1-0.

They play them away in a few weeks.

[SoccerHQ]

Huge win today.

70 points needs to be the aim by end of Wolves match.

[Ad@m]

Given the Wolves result can we change the title of this thread to league winning maths?!

Believe!

[Smirker]

Given the Wolves result can we change the title of this thread to league winning maths?!

Believe!

I agree.

It could happen.

[PeterWithesShin]

If Wolves somehow managed another 2002 it would be very funny after their small time "mind the gap" nonsense.

[curiousorange]

They will be shitting it about Cardiff's game. Could be a six point gap after three winless games. More than enough time left for a hilarious implosion.

Although I want Cardiff to lose, naturally. Let Wolves fuck it up of their own volition.