The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[russon]

If we took 40,000 to a playoff final I doubt our collective sphincter could cope if that’s not too grotesque an image. One lit fag inside the stadium could signal Armageddon.

[Jockey Randall]

We need 7 points from our next three.

We really should be capable of that even with the injuries given who we're playing.

yep, i'd settle for that.

Considering how disjointed we looked last night I'd have to agree. If we could get 7 points from the next 3 we'll have at least got over a slight blip and can hopefully push on from there with players returning from injury.

[Axl Rose]

Preparing for the worst but is the play off final on a Saturday or Bank holiday Monday this season?

Want to get a ticket for the Slam Dunk festival at the NEC which is on the Monday (likes of Good Charlotte and Jimmy Eat World so not a metalhead in sight) but don't want it clashing with us in the play off final.

Pretty sure it's usually on a Saturday when there's a tournament on in the summer.

Haha. But Everytime I Die, Counterparts, Comeback Kid and Northlane are on that bill....you're going to have to put up with a few of us metalheads mate!

I read your post with interest, as I'm thinking of flying back to the UK in May. Hopefully to cheer us on to automatic promotion, but if not, for the playoffs period. When I told my mate, he said 'great, let's go to Slam Dunk, too'.

Slam Dunk or Villa? Definitely Villa, but I reckon the playoff final is on a Saturday this year.

[olaftab]

From EFL website:
Sky Bet Championship Play-Off Final: Saturday 26th May 2018

[Percy McCarthy]

From EFL website:
Sky Bet Championship Play-Off Final: Saturday 26th May 2018

Ooh, Rotterdam Day.

[eamonn]

Cardiff play even uglier football than us. We can't let them get away with it.

[Axl Rose]

From EFL website:
Sky Bet Championship Play-Off Final: Saturday 26th May 2018

See you in May, hopefully mate!

[ozzjim]

Cardiff are an awful side to watch. Really horrible.

I think Bruce is just too cautious to get 2nd. We look clueless going forward without Jack and Albert. Needs to trust Ohare in a couple of games.

[themossman]

Depends on selection.

3 draws it is.

[tomd2103]

Cardiff are an awful side to watch. Really horrible.

I think Bruce is just too cautious to get 2nd. We look clueless going forward without Jack and Albert. Needs to trust Ohare in a couple of games.

Was discussing our situation last night with a friend who is a fellow Villa fan.  He was saying that his concern about the play offs would be the away leg at somewhere like Derby, Cardiff or Fulham.  If we go somewhere like that first and put in the kind of performance we have at those places this season (2 x 2-0 defeats and a 3-0), it would be very difficult to turn things round in the home leg.   

[olaftab]

Our away performances  against teams around us are very depressing. 3-0, 2-0, 2-0, 2-0. All but one of these teams are yet to come to VP and I can not see us winning any of those matches. Autopro will depend on beating Wolves, Cardiff and Derby I think. <

[olaftab]

From EFL website:
Sky Bet Championship Play-Off Final: Saturday 26th May 2018

See you in May, hopefully mate!

Wemberlee it is then

[Brassneck]

Our away performances  against teams around us are very depressing. 3-0, 2-0, 2-0, 2-0. All but one of these teams are yet to come to VP and I can not see us winning any of those matches. Autopro will depend on beating Wolves, Cardiff and Derby I think. <

We need about 9 wins out of 13 remaining games. Certainly, we need to win 2 of those 3 games. There's a possibility that Derby may be out of it by the time we play them which could tempt them to field a weakened side, as Huddersfield did at Blues last season.

My concern is that the injuries have knocked us out of our stride. We need to get back on track as the gap between us and second is growing again. When Jack comes back, he needs to hit the ground running (which I think he will).

[Ads]

9 wins and 3 draws on the basis that 90 odd points is required for 2nd. Get that and we will go up automatically, whether we need that is another matter.

Fulham feels like the last fixture where you feel its a tough game where a point is decent.

Derby, Cardiff, Wolves at home, there's an expectation to beat them all. We've taken more points at home these past two seasons than anybody else, so we're very strong.

I think its probably more likely that 86 points will be enough, but aim for the statistical certainty. Means we need to have an excellent 10 days with Sheffield Wednesday, QPR and Sunderland and take maximum points.

All of a sudden 6 wins from 10 games looks very doable.

Its about how positive we can be and ensuring we try and win every game.

QPR
Leeds
Cardiff
Derby
Reading
Ipswich [away]
Sunderland [away]
Hull [away]
Wednesday [away]
Bolton [away]

Norwich, Wolves and Millwall apart, if we don't go up automatically, we want fucking shooting.

[Ad@m]

Norwich, Wolves and Millwall apart, if we don't go up automatically, we want fucking shooting.

Or the man responsible does...