The Plot To Escape Relegation Thread - 2016

[kippaxvilla2]

And the hits just keep on coming....

Liverpool Home - Draw 1 point
Stoke Away - Win 3 points.
Everton Home - Draw 1 Point
Citeh Away - Lose 0 points
Spuds Home - Lose 0 points
Swansea Away - Win 3 points
Chelsea Home - Draw 1 point
Bournemouth Home - Win 3 points.
Manure Away - Lose 0 points
Southampton Home - Draw 1 point
Watford Away - Draw 1 point
Newcastle Home - Win 3 points
Arsenal Away - Lose 0 points

Only gets us to 33 points - can someone get us to 37?!

[VinnieChase84]

We have to win all our home games 🙈🙈

[Stirchley Villain]

And the hits just keep on coming....

Liverpool Home - Loss 0 point
Stoke Away - Loss 0 points.
Everton Home - Draw 1 Point
Citeh Away - Lose 0 points
Spuds Home - Lose 0 points
Swansea Away - Loss 0 points
Chelsea Home - Loss 0 point
Bournemouth Home - Win 3 points.
Manure Away - Lose 0 points
Southampton Home - Draw 1 point
Watford Away - Draw 1 point
Newcastle Home - Win 3 points
Arsenal Away - Lose 0 points

25 points

I've brought us down to earth a little...

[kippaxvilla2]

That's the spirit.  Can't see it myself somehow this time.  If only we hadn't lost those games against Norwich and Sunderland.

[ozzjim]

And the hits just keep on coming....

Liverpool Home - win 3 points
Stoke Away - loss 0
Everton Home - Draw 1 Point
Citeh Away - Lose 0 points
Spuds Home - draw 1 points
Swansea Away - Win 3 points
Chelsea Home - Draw 1 point
Bournemouth Home - Win 3 points.
Manure Away - Lose 0 points
Southampton Home - win 3 points
Watford Away - Draw 1 point
Newcastle Home - Win 3 points
Arsenal Away - Lose 0 points

Only gets us to 33 points - can someone get us to 37?!

35 at my very most optimistic!

I think the ref decisions not to give us penalties in the last 3, which could have seen us easily pick up 5 more points, have ended all hope.

[four fornicholl]

arsenal away last game
we lose but stay up??

[IFWaters]

And the hits just keep on coming....

Liverpool Home - win 3 points
Stoke Away - win - 3 points
Everton Home - Draw 1 Point
Citeh Away - Lose 0 points
Spuds Home - draw 1 points
Swansea Away - Win 3 points
Chelsea Home - Draw 1 point
Bournemouth Home - Win 3 points.
Manure Away - Lose 0 points
Southampton Home - win 3 points
Watford Away - Draw 1 point
Newcastle Home - Win 3 points
Arsenal Away - Draw - 1 point

39 points. Probably safety.

# I believe in Remi.

35 at my very most optimistic!

I think the ref decisions not to give us penalties in the last 3, which could have seen us easily pick up 5 more points, have ended all hope.

[Dave]

As somebody said on another thread, over the last five games we've picked up eight points, that same 1.6 per game over the rest of the season gives us 37.

[Olof's Beard]

It's impossible to predict. Leicester had one more point that we have at the same stage last season. They had no stars (Vardy and Mahrez weren't as good as they are now during the run) but got some momentum up and got out of it, somehow.

We will need some shock results for sure and certainly some luck. Two separate sequences of 10 points from four games would do it. We got 10 points from the first four games of last season under Lambert of course, and that start ultimately kept us up. In the 21 games that followed until Sherwood was appointed, we only got 12 more - every bit as bad as we have been this season.

Sherwood lost his first two games, so if we can somehow sneak a win against an out of form Liverpool team next week, we will only be three points worse off than we were at the same stage last season. And we stayed up then, whilst been able to afford to lose our last two games.

Of course we had a Benteke last season. But Leicester certainly didn't.

Is anyone prepared to believe?

[Stirchley Villain]

As somebody said on another thread, over the last five games we've picked up eight points, that same 1.6 per game over the rest of the season gives us 37.

Good point well made. There's a few decent teams coming up though.

[Mossie Hennebry]

Aston Villa V Liverpool    win   3 Stoke V Aston Villa            loss 0 Aston Villa V Everton            draw   1 Man City V Aston Villa    loss   0 Aston Villa V Tottenham    win   3 Swansea V Aston Villa    loss   0 Aston Villa V Chelsea            win   3 Aston Villa V Bournemouth    win   3 Man Utd V Aston Villa       loss   0 Aston Villa V Southampton    win   3 Watford V Aston Villa            loss   0 Aston Villa V Newcastle    win   3 Arsenal V Aston Villa            loss   0                                                        35 points and safety!

[Rudy Can't Fail]

Liverpool Home - Draw 1 point
Stoke Away - Win 3 points.
Everton Home - Draw 1 Point
Citeh Away - Lose 0 points
Spuds Home - Lose 0 points
Swansea Away - Win 3 points
Chelsea Home - Draw 1 point
Bournemouth Home - Win 3 points
Manure Away - Lose 0 points
Southampton Home - Win 3 points
Watford Away - Win 3 points
Newcastle Home - Win 3 points
Arsenal Away - Lose 0 points

There's your 37 points, Kippax.

[Olof's Beard]

I think one of our biggest problems is the lay of the league. We have chosen a bad year to be quite so shit, because some of the bigger teams have been much worse than usual so the points have been shared around a lot. A lot of teams have pulled away of late and realistically it looks like 3 from 4 now, unless the Stripeys continue their collapse (they need to start playing Berahino and try and score a few goals).

I don't think 35 points will be enough sadly, it could even end up being 40. But we have take heart from both Leicester and our own predicaments at this time last year, take it one game at a time and try and beat everyone. We can't faff around against the big boys now - there are no 'free games'. United, City, Liverpool, Chelsea...they have all been beaten by lesser sides this year and they all have their vulnerabilities.

[SoccerHQ]

Just heard in return for refusing Kalinic a permit the FA have instead agreed for us to play Norwich a further 10 times in the run in, WE ARE STAYING UP!!

Seriously for me the gap is still too big. 4 points from Liverpool and Stoke though....

[garyshawsknee]

Yeah Swansea and Bournemouth picking up points has been a ball ache, we need a couple of other teams to be sucked in.