Only 3 times since 2000 has a team needed 38+ points to stay up. From 2000 onwards the sides in 18th have had 33, 34, 36, 42, 33, 34, 34, 38, 36, 34, 30, 39, 36, 36, 33.
I reckon 38. So... 5 wins and a drawOR4 wins, 4 draws, 5 defeats.
The "winnable" matches concept is something I've stopped believing in.I think it'd be easier if we couldn't defend for shit, say, then there'd be an element of "they ship 4 goals every match" about it, but it isn't even that. We sometimes look like not losing games, but we pretty much never look like winning them.