How many points for safety ?

[VillaZogmariner]

I think it will be as low as 37/38.

If you look at the teams that have less than 38 points (so Newcastle downwards) everyone is playing each other, so that's a lot of points to take off each other -

New - 6/9
Eve - 7/10
Ful - 4/9
Sto - 5/9
AV - 7/9
Bbn - 5/9
Bpl - 5/10
WBA - 4/9
WH - 3/9
BC - 6/11
WW - 8/10 (8/9 after the Spuds game today)
WA - 6/9

[Villa'Zawg]

 villa for life: What do the history books say when it comes to linking relegation and goal difference? Are the three teams that go down usually also the ones with almost the worst, if not the worst goal difference.
------------------

Yes, there is a close correlation between goal difference and league position, not just for the relegation spots.

[ian c.]

I think it will be as low as 37/38.

I hope you are right because I'm struggling to see where we would get ten points I think we need to avoid the drop.  I have got my pessimistic head on today though.

[levico]

42 - we'll get 40.

[PaulWinch again]

I think we'll get 45.

[The Left Side]

I did the bbc predictor with Villa just drawing or losing their remaining game (I know ever the eternal pessimist) and I had wigan, blackburn and wolves to go down with us in 16th on 38 points with west brom just below us, for what it's worth!

[TimTheVillain]

41 points.

West Ham and Wolves are such 6 pointers.

Who'd have thought it?

[TheSandman]

Had a go with the predictor...



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[hawkeye]

I think the fact that all the teams are so close the predictor thing is a waste of time. It looks like we need to win 3 games and i have no idea where we are going to do that. I think we will go into the last 3 games needing points

[Legion]

I really hope you're wrong. I can't wait to see the end of this season. It's been awful. I still think we'll be OK, though.

[SoccerHQ]

If I remember correctly, West Ham were relegated with 42 points. It is not inconceivable that someone is relegated with even more this season. I wouldn't want to go in to the final 2 games still needing results to go our way.

Yep I can see it being a similar season to that one. Can see a team getting relegated on 41 points this season, hopefully Small Heath.

I think we'll get to 45 points quite comfortably.

[SoccerHQ]

I think it will be as low as 37/38.

I hope you are right because I'm struggling to see where we would get ten points I think we need to avoid the drop.  I have got my pessimistic head on today though.

Well 4 points from West ham and West Brom away and 5 points from newcastle, Stoke, Wolves and Wigan home games plus a point at home to the scousers on the final day will see that.

Stoke have been absolutely dreadful on the road this year so far, we're due a win at home to Wigan, Newcastle are begging to slip and Tiote and Nolan are both on 9 yellos so could be suspended for our game and we never lose to West Brom do we?

If Houllier gets us relegated from that run in, he should be hung from the Rotunda.

[TopDeck113]

In my opinion we need 43. 

 

[hawkeye]

SHQ all the teams we have to play are all capable of getting results, there is so little to choose between them, I guess the league proves that. Telegraph on sat showed a chart , this is the lowest points gap (7)  10th to bottom at the begining of March since the prem started, Wigan on 27 points would not have been in the bottom 3 in the last 15 seasons, so i guess that means the points to stay up is going to be high, the record number of points to be relegated is 42.

[damon loves JT]

I would just like the occasional Saturday evening where my family aren't too frightened to talk to me.