The Run In

[cdbearsfan]

Would settle for that I suppose. Do we still get to win the Cup?

[ROBBO]

I have us finishing on 49 points and ninth with Wigan, Wolve and West Ham for the drop. I wasn't kind to us either. It all depends on the quality coming in doesn't it.

[Californian Villain]

Call me crazy but I still think we'll finish top 10, get our house in order and push on to challenge the top places again.

You must be crazy!

[*shellac*]

10th to 12th will be good for us this season.

Even if we were to win 7/8 games in the run in, I don't think we will win by big margin.

Our current bad goal difference will cost us.

But...2011/12 Here We Come!

[richard moore]

Groan.......the prediction thread!

Anyone remember last season when we were neck and neck with Spurs for fourth and they had, I think, Chelsea, Man Utd and Arsenal all within a few weeks and won them all? Everyone on here was predicting they would lose all three...just shows the futility of trying to do this
 
How times have changed eh!

[Simba]

The run-in as I see it, trying to be positive...

Villa 2 Man City 1
Wigan 0 Villa 2
Man U 4 Villa 6
Villa 2 Fulham 0
Blackpool 0 Villa 3
Villa 2 Blackburn 1
Bolton 0 Villa 4
Villa 12 Wolves 0
Everton 0 Villa 7
Villa 26 Newcastle 0
West Ham 0 Villa 234
Villa 5 Stoke 0
West Brom 0 Villa 11
Villa 0 Wigan 2 (some things never change)
Arsenal 1 Villa 10
Aston Villa 36,943 Relegated Liverpool 0

That leaves us on 67 points, which might just sneak us a Champions League spot.

Plus it's Our Year For the Cup.

Hope I've put all your minds at rest.

I have printed this and stuck it on the fridge door. Much better than plastic magnetic dolphins jumping over the moon. OK not as realistic mind. But soothing.

[oldtimernow]

I know I shouldnt but I did......

I got us finishing 8th and was so surprised I tinkered with the results and put in some worst case scenarios and got us finishing 12th....

But then again in previous years we qualified for Champions League!

[darren woolley]

We will finish 14th or 15th i hope it's higher but i can't see it myself.

[Greg N'Ash]

more worried about relegation meself. still, i get 27 points which would put us on 49 points. that seems too optimistic so i'm gonna  knock off 3 of the 'hopefull draws' i've predicted. 46 points should do it.

[ROBBO]

Well you got the same as me Greg with 49 and we both have reputations as being miserable bastards so perhaps we can pull this off.

[Greg N'Ash]

yeah, i was predicting on a worse case scenario so was a bit surprised i got so many points. But i reckon we've got an easier 2nd half of the season and like you say, two miserable bastards can't be wrong :0)

[CJ]

I tried to err on the pessimistic side and Villa ended up 13th with surprisingly (to me) 41 points.  Wolves, Wigan and West Ham for the drop:

1. Arsenal      87
2. Man Utd     86
3. Chelsea      85
4. Man City     80
5. Spurs         75
6. Liverpool    55
7. Newcastle   52
8. Bolton        52
9. Everton       49
10. Stoke        45
11. Blackpool  45
12. Sunderland 43
13. Villa          41
14. Albion        38
15. Fulham       35
16. Bloose        35
17. Blackburn   33
18. Wolves       32
19. Wigan         32
20. West Ham   30

[Villa'Zawg]

Since Gerard took over we have dropped 15 points compared to the equivalent 17 fixtures last year after replacing the relegated teams with the promoted teams.

Last year we took 27 points from the equivalent 16 fixtures to the ones we have left to play. So if we suddenly improved enough to be as good as we were last season, we’ll end up on 49 points.

I don’t see any signs that we’re going to suddenly become as effective as we were last season and remain extremely worried about the possibility of relegation. That will only change for me when our results start improving.

[sfx412]

I don’t see any signs that we’re going to suddenly become as effective as we were last season and remain extremely worried about the possibility of relegation. That will only change for me when our results start improving.

You don't see Chelsea 7 Villa 1 to Chelsea 3 Villa 3 as a sign then ?

[Chico Hamilton III]

You don't see Chelsea 7 Villa 1 to Chelsea 3 Villa 3 as a sign then

No

You can't take a single datapoint and make a trend out of it.